Opportunity ledger / Dossier O-1407
Collected sample: 8 independent content items across 1 source families. Known publication dates: 2026-07-26 — 2026-10-20.
First seen 2026-07-26 · Last updated 2026-10-25 · Recalculated daily
These observations describe collected samples, not platform-wide prevalence; they cannot establish whether a problem is widespread or accelerating. Collection scope changed on 09-16 and 09-27; monthly counts must not be read as trends.
Post title: Never doing google ads again
Literally like 4000 spent, and almost nothing in r…
The public layer keeps only a minimal excerpt. Open the source for full context.
Post title: I’m a swimwear brand spending $15 a day
I’ve spent $300 so far with no conversions yet. I …
The public layer keeps only a minimal excerpt. Open the source for full context.
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What this evidence does not show yet
This dossier already carries first-hand payment evidence. What it still cannot tell you: market size, how reachable these people are, or what it costs to acquire them.
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Scoring summary
Evidence confidence = strength × evidence volume × source diversity × payment × competition × trend × 10. Counts use independent content items; only first-hand pain, current spend, explicit willingness to pay and concrete feature requests affect the score. Repeated posts by one author are discounted. Scoring and status changes follow deterministic rules.
“Payment-backed” means first-hand payment evidence exists in the record. It does not mean the business is worth building. “Fading” is a recency tag shown alongside any evidence level, not a lower level. Read the full methodology.