Public Evidence Lab / Dossier O-7288

Corroborated$ New payment evidenceOPPORTUNITY DOSSIER · O-7288

Mobile ad click-to-install conversion losses

Collected sample: 4 independent content items across 1 source families. Known publication dates: 2026-09-20 — 2026-10-29.

First seen 2026-09-20 · Last updated 2026-11-05 · Recalculated daily

8.8
Evidence confidence, not a return forecast
4
Independent source items, deduplicated by post
1
Public source families
1
Payment evidence: current spend or explicit intent
ProblemThe source-linked evidence below documents the recurring problem.
People affectedPeople represented in the linked public discussions.
Named alternativesMeta, Meta Ads
Collected sample dates · 12 weeks
08-1709-1410-1211-02

These observations describe collected samples, not platform-wide prevalence; they cannot establish whether a problem is widespread or accelerating. Collection scope changed on 09-16 and 09-27; monthly counts must not be read as trends.

Representative evidence

Full evidence chain · 4 items · 3 representative excerpts shown
Payment intent★★☆☆☆Current spend

Post title: getting 3-5 sales in a day with $70 budget

i am running a campaign for my ios app by targetin…

The public layer keeps only a minimal excerpt. Open the source for full context.

Reddit2026-10-29View source ↗
Pain★★★☆☆First-hand pain

Post title: App Install Campaign Not Tracking Installs in Meta Ads

The campaign has already generated over 2,600 link…

The public layer keeps only a minimal excerpt. Open the source for full context.

Reddit2026-10-28View source ↗
Pain★★★☆☆First-hand pain

Post title: Best way to actually drive app downloads?

We have a small social app, live on iOS and Androi…

The public layer keeps only a minimal excerpt. Open the source for full context.

Reddit2026-09-20View source ↗

What this evidence does not show yet

To reach Payment-backed we still need:

  • 1 more independent post(s) — we have 4
  • renewed mentions — the recent trend is below the promotion bar

Follow how this opportunity evolves

Every item traceable · free · we email you only when this market actually changes

Scoring summary

Evidence confidence = strength × evidence volume × source diversity × payment × competition × trend × 10. Counts use independent content items; only first-hand pain, current spend, explicit willingness to pay and concrete feature requests affect the score. Repeated posts by one author are discounted. Scoring and status changes follow deterministic rules.

“Payment-backed” means first-hand payment evidence exists in the record. It does not mean the business is worth building. “Fading” is a recency tag shown alongside any evidence level, not a lower level. Read the full methodology.